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Diplomacy

News & analysis tagged Diplomacy — diplomacy, politics, and global affairs coverage from Model Diplomat.

521 Stories

World Normalises Taliban as Afghan Women Eras
politics_diplomacy

World Normalises Taliban as Afghan Women Eras

UN data shows Afghan women erased from public life as Russia recognises the Taliban, EU hosts officials in Brussels, and ICC warrants for gender persecution go unenforced.

2026-08-12
US Tariffs on Brazil: A Political Play
economics_markets

US Tariffs on Brazil: A Political Play

US imposes 25% tariff on Brazil but exempts 66% of exports, targeting manufactured goods ahead of Brazil's October election. Analysis of the political calculus, exemptions, and Brazil's response options.

2026-07-22
Trump's 50% Tariff on Canada Ends USMCA's Tar
economics_markets

Trump's 50% Tariff on Canada Ends USMCA's Tar

Trump invokes Section 338 of the Tariff Act of 1930 for the first time, imposing 50% tariffs on $20 billion of Canadian goods and ending the USMCA tariff shield.

2026-07-22
The Drone-Corridor Sleight of Hand
asia_pacific

The Drone-Corridor Sleight of Hand

A Taipei Times editorial proposes a Taiwan-India drone corridor using Tamil Nadu factories to assemble Taiwanese components, exploiting dual-use tech classification to avoid Beijing's red lines while purging Chinese parts from supply chains.

2026-07-22
Solomon Islands Signs US Coast Guard Patrol
asia_pacific

Solomon Islands Signs US Coast Guard Patrol

Solomon Islands PM Matthew Wale signs US Coast Guard shiprider deal 68 days after taking office, reversing four years of Chinese-aligned maritime policy and signaling a strategic balancing act in the Pacific.

2026-07-22
Petro's Farewell: Blueprint for Opposition-in
elections

Petro's Farewell: Blueprint for Opposition-in

Colombia's Gustavo Petro refuses to recognize the June 21 election result, calls the incoming government a US-imposed 'viceroyalty', and mobilizes supporters for a general strike, setting the stage for a turbulent transfer of power.

2026-07-22
ICC votes on firing prosecutor Karim Khan
law_justice

ICC votes on firing prosecutor Karim Khan

125 ICC member states vote July 24 on firing prosecutor Karim Khan after a judicial panel cleared him of misconduct. The outcome could derail cases against Putin, Netanyahu, and Duterte.

2026-07-22
Brazil Becomes Trump's Section 301 Guinea Pig
economics_markets

Brazil Becomes Trump's Section 301 Guinea Pig

Brazil faces a 25% US tariff from July 22, 2026, as the first test of Trump's post-IEEPA Section 301 regime. Exemptions covering 65% of exports reveal US industrial dependence.

2026-07-22
Lebanon pilot zone plan masks Israeli hold
conflict_security

Lebanon pilot zone plan masks Israeli hold

US-brokered Lebanon pilot zone plan lets Israel keep 20% of Lebanese territory while the Lebanese army is tasked with disarming Hezbollah, a task it cannot do.

2026-07-21
Iran's invisible leader hands power to IRGC
elections

Iran's invisible leader hands power to IRGC

Mojtaba Khamenei's five-month public absence creates a power vacuum that the IRGC exploits to undermine Iran's US ceasefire deal and consolidate control over the economy.

2026-07-21
Colombia's $20B Venezuela Reconstruction Play
latin_america

Colombia's $20B Venezuela Reconstruction Play

Colombia's president-elect names retail veteran Jorge Jaller as Venezuela envoy, prioritizing commercial access to $12-20 billion earthquake reconstruction over traditional diplomacy.

2026-07-21
US Strike on Empty Iran Reactor Tests Law
conflict_security

US Strike on Empty Iran Reactor Tests Law

US strikes empty Darkhovin nuclear plant in Iran, violating IAEA resolution protecting facilities under construction. Tehran's top lawyer leads legal response, signaling potential ICJ case.

2026-07-20
US bombs empty Iran nuclear site, setting NPT
mena

US bombs empty Iran nuclear site, setting NPT

US bombs Iran's Darkhovin nuclear construction site, confirmed empty by IAEA. First strike on a non-operational safeguarded civilian facility in NPT era, setting a precedent that undermines nuclear safeguards globally.

2026-07-20
Strait of Hormuz War Escalates to Water War
mena

Strait of Hormuz War Escalates to Water War

US bombs Iran for ninth night, striking Tabriz for first time; Iran hits Kuwaiti desalination plants. The Strait of Hormuz war escalates into a battle over survival infrastructure as the June ceasefire collapses.

2026-07-20
Netanyahu Gambles ICC Warrant on Prosecutor's
law_justice

Netanyahu Gambles ICC Warrant on Prosecutor's

Netanyahu attacks ICC warrant as 'bogus' as former prosecutor Karim Khan faces removal vote on July 24. New York mayor's arrest threat blocked by US law. Analysis of the standoff.

2026-07-20
Iran's $6 Billion Oil Surge During US Truce
mena

Iran's $6 Billion Oil Surge During US Truce

Iran exported 70 million barrels of oil worth $5-6 billion during a 27-day US truce in June 2026, exploiting a temporary OFAC license to refill its war chest and exposing a structural flaw in the blockade strategy.

2026-07-20
India's 'Well-Calibrated' AI Law Builds a
tech_policy

India's 'Well-Calibrated' AI Law Builds a

India drafts a 'well-calibrated' AI law that borrows from the EU and US but replicates neither, positioning itself as a normative leader for the Global South at the 2026 AI Impact Summit.

2026-07-20
Cartels as Terrorists: Legal Net Widens
latin_america

Cartels as Terrorists: Legal Net Widens

U.S. designates Juárez Cartel and Los Viagras as FTOs, expanding terrorism label beyond fentanyl kingpins to regional extortion rackets, risking criminalization of millions of Mexican businesses and migrants.

2026-07-20
Trump's 10% Tariff Expires July 24
economics_markets

Trump's 10% Tariff Expires July 24

Trump's 10% universal tariff expires July 24, replaced by a two-tier Section 301 forced-labor tariff. Countries with bilateral deals pay 10%; others face 12.5%. $86B in IEEPA refunds paid.

2026-07-19
China's Monkey Cartoon Tests ASEAN Unity
asia_pacific

China's Monkey Cartoon Tests ASEAN Unity

China refuses to apologize for state-media AI video depicting Filipinos as monkeys, testing ASEAN's response as foreign ministers meet in Manila.

2026-07-19
Clan del Golfo Capos Flee to Panama
latin_america

Clan del Golfo Capos Flee to Panama

Colombian capos from Clan del Golfo and FARC dissidents flee to Panama after president-elect issues ultimatum, testing US-aligned Panama

2026-07-18
Washington's Venezuela Track Bypasses Machado
latin_america

Washington's Venezuela Track Bypasses Machado

Marco Rubio chose Dinorah Figuera over María Corina Machado to lead Venezuela talks starting August 1. Machado holds the popular mandate but is exiled; chavismo prefers the technocratic track. The earthquake gives Delcy Rodríguez cover to delay elections.

2026-07-17
Washington's Crypto Chokepoint: Nobitex and T
economics_markets

Washington's Crypto Chokepoint: Nobitex and T

US Treasury sanctions four Iranian crypto exchanges including Nobitex for IRGC financing, but the real target is Tether's USDT stablecoin that enables sanctions evasion. Blumenthal probes Tether's voluntary compliance.

2026-07-17
Vance Accuses Israel of Sabotaging Iran Deal
mena

Vance Accuses Israel of Sabotaging Iran Deal

JD Vance tells Joe Rogan Israeli officials ran a covert campaign to sabotage his Iran deal, as Trump threatens bombing and the MoU's 60-day window ticks toward collapse.

2026-07-17