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News & analysis tagged Gray-Zone Conflict — diplomacy, politics, and global affairs coverage from Model Diplomat.

China's coast guard entered Kinmen's restricted waters 24 times in 2026, desensitizing Taiwan's public and eroding territorial jurisdiction through a deliberate gray-zone campaign.
2026-07-20
Senator Tammy Duckworth warns China will likely blockade Taiwan by 2028 using coast guard vessels under legal cover, not military invasion, citing rehearsed exercises and economic stakes of $2.45 trillion in trade.
2026-07-19
Philippines marks 10 years of South China Sea ruling as 14 governments call it binding, but China doubles coast guard patrols at Scarborough Shoal, testing U.S. treaty trigger.
2026-07-16
Israel's Arrow missile defense, unmanned naval vessels, and seabed sensors could help Taiwan counter a Chinese blockade, but transfers require U.S. legal cover via HR 7146 and commercial front companies due to Israel's One China policy.
2026-07-10