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News & analysis tagged Gray-Zone Conflict — diplomacy, politics, and global affairs coverage from Model Diplomat.

China's coast guard entered Kinmen's restricted waters 24 times in 2026, desensitizing Taiwan's public and eroding territorial jurisdiction through a deliberate gray-zone campaign.
2026-07-20
Senator Tammy Duckworth warns China will likely impose an economic blockade on Taiwan by 2028 using coast guard vessels under legal cover, not military invasion, citing rehearsed exercises and $2.45 trillion in trade at risk.
2026-07-19
Ten years after the Hague ruling, China has won the facts-on-the-water battle but is losing the legitimacy battle as Manila makes noncompliance steadily more expensive.
2026-07-16
Israel's battle-tested missile defense, unmanned naval vessels, and distributed logistics know-how offer Taiwan a covert toolkit against a Chinese blockade — but transfer will flow through commercial fronts and an India bridge, not overt military ties, because Israel's "One China" policy forbids it.
2026-07-10