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News & analysis tagged Geopolitical Risk — diplomacy, politics, and global affairs coverage from Model Diplomat.

IMF warns global oil reserves are half gone as US-Iran conflict reopens Strait of Hormuz, with Brent crude above $84 and no buffer left to absorb a second supply shock.
2026-07-16
US reimposes naval blockade on Iran as June ceasefire collapses; Trump's 20% Hormuz toll reversed in 24 hours. War-risk insurance keeps strait effectively closed, squeezing Asian oil importers.
2026-07-16