Scenario planning
Three plausible futures with triggers, signposts, and what each means for you. Built for researchers and analysts who need a structured, sourced answer they can stand behind.
What you'll get
- A structured brief you can cite and build on
- Primary sources surfaced before secondary commentary
- A clear synthesis at the end — not a wall of text
What you'll fill in
the question (e.g. how does the Taiwan Strait standoff evolve over 24 months?)
The prompt
This is what lands in your composer — edit the [blanks] and send.
Run a scenario-planning exercise on: "[the question (e.g. how does the Taiwan Strait standoff evolve over 24 months?)]". Give three distinct scenarios — base case, escalation, and de-escalation. For each: a one-line name, the causal path, rough probability, the early signposts that would tell me it's happening, and the implications. End with the two variables that matter most and what to watch.
Start from this template
Model Diplomat fills it in with answers grounded in primary sources — every claim cites a real document, never a fabricated one.
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