Far Right Gains in EU Vote, but Macron Took the Bigger Hit
Far-right parties gained ground across Europe, but the centre-right still controls Brussels. France’s snap election is the real power test.
The far right did not win the European Parliament, but it did something more useful politically: it forced Emmanuel Macron onto the defensive. After Marine Le Pen’s National Rally crushed Macron’s Renaissance party in France’s EU vote, Macron dissolved parliament and called snap legislative elections, the BBC reported (
BBC News). That move turns a European ballot into a domestic gamble — and makes France the main arena to watch in
Global Politics.
The EU result still favors the centre-right
The headline across Europe is not a far-right takeover. The centre-right European People’s Party kept the biggest bloc in the new Parliament, while pro-European centre-right, centre-left, liberal and Green groups still held a majority, though a slimmer one, according to Reuters’ election analysis relayed by France 24 (
France 24). That matters because the Parliament’s coalition arithmetic still gives the bloc’s mainstream parties the numbers to shape legislation, confirm the next European Commission, and set the pace on migration, industry, and climate rules.
The far right’s strength was uneven. Reuters’ roundup showed strong performances in France and Italy, but weaker-than-expected results in several other countries, including Belgium, the Czech Republic, Finland and Poland (
BBC News). That split is the key political fact: the nationalist right is powerful enough to disrupt, but not yet unified enough to govern Brussels.
Macron’s loss changes the balance inside Europe
France is the strategic prize because it is one of the EU’s two central powers, alongside Germany. Macron’s snap election is not just about repairing his domestic authority; it is about whether a hard-right force can convert an EU protest vote into control of a national legislature. DW reported that National Rally won more than 30 percent of the French vote, roughly double Renaissance, and that the June 30 and July 7 parliamentary rounds could force Macron to govern alongside a far-right prime minister (
DW).
That prospect benefits Le Pen and Jordan Bardella most. It also strengthens Giorgia Meloni’s position in Italy, where her Brothers of Italy led the vote, and it gives hard-right forces more leverage in EU negotiations even without a majority of their own (
BBC News;
France 24). For the centre-left, the message is harsher: Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats took a historic hit in Germany, and the Greens lost ground across the bloc.
What to watch next
The next decision point is France’s parliamentary election on June 30 and July 7 (
DW). If Le Pen’s camp converts its EU result into a national victory, the far right’s leverage will jump from protest politics to state power. If it fails, Brussels will keep its mainstream coalition — but under heavier pressure to harden migration policy, slow parts of the green agenda, and accommodate nationalist voters.
The EU vote did not remake Europe. It did something more immediate: it exposed where the weak point is. Right now, that is France.