Trump's Growing Leverage in DHS and Iran Stal

Trump’s Leverage Grows as DHS and Iran Fights Stall

House conservatives are using DHS funding to force immigration terms, while Congress’s failed Iran vote leaves Trump with wider room to act.

Donald Trump starts May 1 with more room to maneuver than his numbers alone would suggest. The real power dynamic is congressional fragmentation. CNN’s May 1 briefing put the DHS shutdown and the war powers fight side by side; that is the story line that matters now: Congress is struggling both to fund the president’s own security apparatus and to constrain his use of force abroad. 5 things to know for May 1: DHS shutdown, war powers, press dinner shooting, redistricting fight, Camp Mystic | CNN How every House member voted to block Trump from ordering Iran strikes - Washington Post

Johnson holds the domestic choke point

On DHS, leverage sits with Speaker Mike Johnson, not with Senate leaders or Democrats. By April 27, CNN reported the shutdown had reached 72 days, with DHS relying on a $10 billion rainy-day fund that leaders warned was nearly depleted. The Senate had already passed a reopening measure twice, but Johnson was still refusing to bring it up, arguing the bill’s language was flawed and objecting that it did not fund ICE and Customs and Border Protection the way conservatives wanted. Hill GOP braces for ‘nightmare week’ as pressure mounts to end DHS funding standoff | CNN Politics

That makes the shutdown a bargaining tool. Johnson and House conservatives are trying to convert operational pressure into immigration concessions, while Senate Majority Leader John Thune has pushed a two-track approach: reopen DHS now, then fight over a larger immigration package later. GOP leaders declare path to end DHS shutdown — but enormous hurdles remain | CNN Politics

Who benefits: Trump and the House hardline bloc, because the standoff keeps border enforcement at the center of the agenda.
Who loses: swing-district Republicans, DHS employees, and Senate Republicans who want to end the disruption without surrendering the rest of their legislative calendar.

The Iran vote showed Congress’s limits

The war-powers fight points in the same direction. On April 16, the House failed 214-213 to pass a measure intended to block Trump from ordering further strikes on Iran without congressional backing. Supporters tied the effort to the War Powers Resolution of 1973 and a May 1 deadline argument. How every House member voted to block Trump from ordering Iran strikes - Washington Post

That one-vote failure matters more than the rhetoric around it. Congress showed it can criticize Trump’s military posture, but not reliably discipline it. The deeper US Politics pattern is institutional: narrow majorities are giving small blocs veto power, and that usually helps the executive.

What to watch next

The next decision point is simple. Will Johnson allow a vote on the Senate DHS bill, or keep holding out for a broader immigration package before DHS cash runs out? Hill GOP braces for ‘nightmare week’ as pressure mounts to end DHS funding standoff | CNN Politics

On Iran, watch for any new strike, ceasefire lapse, or fresh House vote with different attendance. A one-vote margin is not a mandate; it is a warning that the next procedural test could flip. For the United States, the immediate issue is not ideology. It is whether congressional Republicans can convert nominal control into governing control before events do it for them.