China Turns Eswatini Travel Row Into Pressure on Taiwan
Beijing is using airspace and trade pressure to isolate Taiwan’s last African ally, while Eswatini trades symbolism for aid.
China is trying to turn President Lai Ching-te’s Eswatini visit into a warning shot. After the kingdom hosted Lai, Beijing accused Eswatini of being “kept and fed” by Taiwan, a deliberate public humiliation meant to undercut Taiwan’s last African partner and remind other capitals that dealing with Taipei carries a cost.
Reuters
Beijing is squeezing on the margins
This is not about Eswatini’s size; it is about leverage. Taiwan said last month that Seychelles, Mauritius and Madagascar revoked overflight permits for Lai’s presidential aircraft under Chinese pressure, forcing an initial cancellation of the trip.
Reuters Beijing never had to convince Eswatini to switch recognition to score a win — it only had to make the trip harder, costlier and more visibly contested.
That tactic fits the longer pattern. Reuters reported in 2018 that China was already leaning on Swaziland to sever ties with Taipei ahead of a China-Africa summit, and Reuters counted only 12 formal Taiwanese allies worldwide in January 2024.
Reuters,
Reuters For background on the wider diplomatic contest, see
Global Politics and
Conflict.
Eswatini is the symbol Beijing wants
AP reported that Eswatini is Taiwan’s only formal diplomatic ally in Africa, which makes it more useful to Taipei as a symbol than as a market.
AP News Lai’s rescheduled visit on May 2 let Taipei show it can still move a head of state abroad, discuss economic and agricultural cooperation, and keep one of its last remaining embassies from becoming a stranded relic.
AP News
For King Mswati III’s government, the relationship buys attention, aid and a diplomatic line to Taipei; for China, it is a small but useful test of whether public shaming and logistical pressure can make the costs of supporting Taiwan obvious to everyone else. Reuters has repeatedly described the broader fight as one of “dollar diplomacy,” with Beijing using larger economic incentives to pull partners away from Taipei.
Reuters
What to watch next
The next decision point is whether Beijing stops at rhetoric or keeps tightening the screws through air transit, trade access and pressure on third countries that host Taiwanese officials.
Reuters If Lai’s next foreign trip again runs into denied overflight permits, this stops looking like a one-off insult and starts looking like the template.