Polling & Election Prediction — Glossary

An independent body responsible for overseeing the conduct, fairness, and logistics of elections to ensure integrity and public trust.

The adherence to democratic principles and fairness in the conduct of elections, including transparency, accuracy, and freedom from fraud or coercion.

The degree of change in voting patterns or party support between elections within a political system.

A survey conducted immediately after voters leave polling stations to predict election outcomes and analyze [Voter](https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/glossary/voter) behavior. These polls provide early election insights.

Surveys conducted immediately after voters leave polling stations to predict election outcomes and analyze [Voter](https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/glossary/voter) behavior.

Surveys conducted before elections to measure [Voter](https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/glossary/voter) preferences and predict outcomes.

An election held to select a party's candidate for a subsequent general election.

A party official or elected leader who has a vote in selecting a party's presidential nominee, independent of primary or [Caucus](https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/glossary/caucus) results. Common in some party systems like the US Democrats.

A party system dominated by two major political parties.

The percentage of eligible voters who participate in an election by casting a ballot.