The HIV/AIDS Controversy
The devastating failure of South Africa's early AIDS response — Mandela's silence, Mbeki's denialism, and the lessons of a catastrophe.
The Scale of the Crisis
By the time Mandela left office in 1999, South Africa was in the grip of the fastest-growing HIV epidemic in the world. Approximately 4.2 million South Africans were HIV-positive — a prevalence rate of roughly 22% among adults aged 15-49. The virus was devastating the most economically productive age group, creating a generation of orphans, and reversing gains in life expectancy. By the peak of the epidemic in the mid-2000s, life expectancy in South Africa had dropped from 62 years to below 50.
The HIV/AIDS crisis is widely considered the most significant policy failure of the post-apartheid era, and Mandela's role — or more precisely, his lack of action — during his presidency is a painful but essential part of his legacy.