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Lesson 10 min 20 XP

Petrostates

Countries built on oil — how petroleum wealth shapes governance, economies, and foreign policy.

The Petrostate Model

A petrostate is a country where oil and gas revenues dominate government income, typically accounting for over 50% of export earnings and a large share of the national budget. Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela, Nigeria, and several Gulf states fit this description.

Petrostate dynamics tend to follow predictable patterns. Oil wealth flows directly to the government, reducing its dependence on taxation — and therefore on citizen consent. This breaks the 'no taxation, no representation' bargain that historically drove democratic development. Instead, governments use oil revenues to buy loyalty through subsidies, public sector jobs, and patronage.

The 'Dutch Disease' further distorts petrostate economies: high oil revenues strengthen the currency, making other exports uncompetitive and hollowing out manufacturing and agriculture. When oil prices crash — as they regularly do — petrostates face fiscal crises, social unrest, and political instability. Venezuela's catastrophic economic collapse after 2014, driven by falling oil prices and mismanagement, is a stark illustration of petrostate fragility.

Petrostates | Model Diplomat