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Lesson 14 min 20 XP

Crisis Case Studies

Analyzing real-world crises — the Cuban Missile Crisis, Fukushima, and the Volkswagen emissions scandal — to extract decision-making lessons.

Case Study: The Cuban Missile Crisis (1962)

When US intelligence discovered Soviet nuclear missiles in Cuba, President Kennedy faced the ultimate crisis. His advisors initially pushed for an air strike, but Kennedy slowed the process. He established the ExComm advisory group with deliberate anti-groupthink measures, pursued a naval blockade as a middle option that preserved diplomatic room, and opened a secret back channel to Khrushchev through his brother Robert Kennedy and Soviet ambassador Dobrynin.

Key lessons: Structure your advisory process to encourage dissent. Seek options between 'do nothing' and 'escalate maximally.' Use private channels to give adversaries face-saving ways to back down.

Crisis Case Studies | Model Diplomat