---
title: "Demographic Transition Model: 5 Stages Explained"
description: "The Demographic Transition Model outlines how populations shift from high to low birth and death rates, crucial for understanding India's growth trajectory."
url: "https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/glossary/demographic-transition-model"
---

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Model Diplomat Research Team · Last reviewed June 22, 2026

TL;DR

- The Demographic Transition Model describes the historical shift of populations from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as societies industrialize and modernize.
- Who developed the Demographic Transition Model?
- How does the Demographic Transition Model differ from the demographic dividend?
- Which stage of the model is India currently in?
- Is stage five a recognized part of the model?

[Civil Service & Diplomatic Exams](https://modeldiplomat.com/learn/civil-services/glossary)Updated June 22, 2026

The Demographic Transition Model describes the historical shift of populations from high birth and death rates to low birth and death rates as societies industrialize and modernize.

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India's National Family Health Survey-5 (2019–21) recorded a total fertility rate of 2.0, below replacement level, placing the country in late stage three of the Demographic Transition Model.

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